DP 0253 - Are Fiscal VAR’s Non-Fundamentalness Easily Reversible Through the Addition of Informative Variables?

نویسندگان

چکیده

The VAR/SVAR (Vector Autoregressive and Structural Vector Autoregressive) models are the cornerstone of contemporaneous empirical macroeconomic research, in particular for being able to measure impact fiscal policy shocks. They may be employed as atheoretical models, well a mean support estimation testing DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) – main theoretical tool modern macroeconomics. Nevertheless, VAR subject pathologies, such non-fundamentalness. It is capable biasing estimates any direction or intensity, it consists non-invertibility MA (Moving Average) representation on positive powers lag operator. This associated with insufficiency econometrician’s data estimate model’s correct parameters model misspecification. study first employ latest most efficient tests non-fundamentalness USA: Forni Gambetti’s (2014) Canova Sahneh (2018) tests. were found non-fundamental.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Texto para Discussão

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1415-4765']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.38116/dp253